This is a really fascinating column. It is amazing how trends come and go. I was Stan Parris' chief of staff for his last five years. A Republican could not come close to winning what his old seat was today. I also remember not too long ago, that the Democrats were convinced that demographics were in their favor - mostly because they thought Hispanic immigrants would remain Democrats. Little did they realize that practicing Catholics who were highly entrepreneurial and devoted to their children's future, would increasingly find their home in the Republican party. But your warning about the Republicans blowing it is most important. To hold this new coalition together, Republicans need messengers who look like, and share the experiences of, the people they are trying to win over.
I don't think I knew you were Rep. Parris' chief of staff. Much of his old seat now belongs to the very woke Rep. Don Beyer in a D+36 district. No Republican candidate can get much more than 25% there, no matter how strong a candidate they are. I remember working with Rep. Parris when he became chair of the St. Lawrence Seaway Commission - a good man.
The "recent" census data offered to open this discussion was published in 2021 following the 2020 census. It's a dangerous leap from interpreting the dynamics of census data in a vibrant and mobile population to a conclusion concerning political party majorities particularly that in the House of Representatives.
More analytical briefs by scholars in August 2021 caution against an outcome of a Republican majority in the House in the next decade or sooner. The small tent defined by the current Republican leadership appears more certain to "blow it" than capitalize upon demographic advantages if, in fact, they exist or come to fruition. Characterizing all opposition as "woke" is a strong signal of a tribe lost in the desert or planning to seek retribution and deconstruct the national government.
This is a really fascinating column. It is amazing how trends come and go. I was Stan Parris' chief of staff for his last five years. A Republican could not come close to winning what his old seat was today. I also remember not too long ago, that the Democrats were convinced that demographics were in their favor - mostly because they thought Hispanic immigrants would remain Democrats. Little did they realize that practicing Catholics who were highly entrepreneurial and devoted to their children's future, would increasingly find their home in the Republican party. But your warning about the Republicans blowing it is most important. To hold this new coalition together, Republicans need messengers who look like, and share the experiences of, the people they are trying to win over.
I don't think I knew you were Rep. Parris' chief of staff. Much of his old seat now belongs to the very woke Rep. Don Beyer in a D+36 district. No Republican candidate can get much more than 25% there, no matter how strong a candidate they are. I remember working with Rep. Parris when he became chair of the St. Lawrence Seaway Commission - a good man.
The "recent" census data offered to open this discussion was published in 2021 following the 2020 census. It's a dangerous leap from interpreting the dynamics of census data in a vibrant and mobile population to a conclusion concerning political party majorities particularly that in the House of Representatives.
More analytical briefs by scholars in August 2021 caution against an outcome of a Republican majority in the House in the next decade or sooner. The small tent defined by the current Republican leadership appears more certain to "blow it" than capitalize upon demographic advantages if, in fact, they exist or come to fruition. Characterizing all opposition as "woke" is a strong signal of a tribe lost in the desert or planning to seek retribution and deconstruct the national government.
False. The census data in question was published in Dec. 2023. https://www.census.gov/newsroom/press-releases/2023/population-trends-return-to-pre-pandemic-norms.html
I'm starting to resent you trolling my page with falsehoods, word salads, and Democratic spin.